Professor of Mathematics
Paata Ivanisvili
Department of Mathematics, University of California, Irvine
Candidate 55: a subgiant that dimmed for two months
Why this estimate. The dimming is real: ZTF recorded it on two of its detectors, and ASAS-SN, a separate network of small telescopes, saw it in three of its four cameras observing the star. Green light dimmed more than red, as behind dust, and NASA’s TESS space telescope never saw the star spinning. But the dip is shallow and short, ZTF flagged it only twice, and there is no infrared measurement during it.
How to read the pictures. The finder chart shows a patch of sky two arcminutes across, about a fifteenth of the Moon’s width, with north up and east to the left. The star sits between the two yellow ticks, and the white bar is 30 arcseconds long. On a light curve the vertical axis is magnitude, a brightness scale on which larger numbers mean fainter stars, and it is drawn so that down means fainter. Purple shading marks the dimming. Each survey uses slightly different filters, so each is compared with its own normal level. The ZTF pictures show ZTF’s reference image of the star, an image taken during the dimming, and the difference between the two, in which only what changed remains: blue means fainter and red brighter. On the TESS light curves the star is black and the comparison stars are coloured.
What changed. The star is a subgiant of about 5,300 K, some 2 billion years old, about 2,200 parsecs away in Draco. ZTF saw it steady from 2018 to mid-2024. From about 26 June 2024 it was 0.05 to 0.07 magnitudes fainter in green light and 0.03 to 0.05 in red, about 6 per cent less light, until mid-August; it recovered over the next two weeks and was normal from early September. ASAS-SN saw it 0.05 magnitudes faint in July and 0.04 in August 2024.
Why it might matter. Blue light dimmed about 1.4 to 1.8 times as much as red light, at or above ordinary interstellar dust (1.4) and more than spots on a star this cool would give (1.1 to 1.2). TESS watched the star in twenty sectors and found no rotation, so it does not look spotted. Alerts in 2025 and early 2026 suggest it may have dimmed again, but those are not confirmed.
No record of the dimming could be found. The star is not in SIMBAD, VSX (the variable-star index), Gaia’s variable-star lists or the other catalogues consulted, nor among the dimming stars of Tzanidakis et al. (2025), and there is no Transient Name Server entry, Gaia alert or paper giving its Gaia number. ZTF’s alert system holds only machine-generated classifications for it.
- Star
- Gaia DR3 1706330828131818240, a subgiant
- Location
- RA 260.88431°, Dec +78.84802° (J2000), in Draco
- Distance
- about 2,200 parsecs (7,200 light-years)
- Brightness
- Gaia G = 14.1, far too faint for the eye
- Probability
- This candidate is unconfirmed. The percentage under the title is an estimate of the chance that it is a real, previously unrecorded case of the kind described. The estimate has not been checked by outside experts. See the introduction to all fifty-eight candidates.
- Caveat
- The dip is shallow and short, ZTF flagged it only twice, and WISE did not observe during it. The later alerts that hint at a repeat are unconfirmed. There is no spectrum.