Professor of Mathematics

Paata Ivanisvili

pivanisv@uci.edu · x.com/PI010101

Department of Mathematics, University of California, Irvine

Paata Ivanisvili

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Candidate 13: a wobble that hints at a dark companion

about 10%

Why this estimate. The orbit is one of Gaia’s less reliable solutions: it fails the published filter on parallax quality, no measurements along the line of sight confirm it, and orbits of this kind are often spurious.

How to read the pictures. The finder chart shows a patch of sky two arcminutes across, about a fifteenth of the Moon’s width, with north up and east to the left. The star sits between the two yellow ticks, and the white bar is 30 arcseconds long. On a light curve the vertical axis is magnitude, a brightness scale on which larger numbers mean fainter stars, and it is drawn so that down means fainter. Here the orange band marks the years in which Gaia measured the orbit, not a change in brightness. Each survey uses slightly different filters, so each is compared with its own normal level.

Light curve in three filters from 2010 to 2025. The points lie in flat bands, Pan-STARRS and ZTF are offset from each other, and there is a gap between 2014 and 2018.
Pan-STARRS1 from 2010 to 2014 and ZTF from 2018 to 2025, in the g, r and i filters. The star is steady to within a few hundredths of a magnitude, and the offsets between the two surveys come from their slightly different filters, not from a change in the star. Down means fainter. Gaia DR3 has published no visit-by-visit brightness measurements for this star.

What Gaia found. This is a Sun-like star in Ursa Major that moves in a small ellipse on the sky every 530 days, as if a companion were pulling it around. If the star has about 0.8 solar masses, the companion would have 1.35 to 1.72 solar masses and yet give off no light that Gaia can see. It could be a neutron star, a heavy white dwarf or a pair of white dwarfs. The steady light curve is consistent with a dark companion, since the brightness does not have to change for the wobble to be real.

Why the estimate is low. The orbit fails one of Gaia’s recommended quality cuts: the parallax signal-to-noise ratio, the parallax divided by its uncertainty, is 23.7, and the cut requires 37.7. A mass near 1.5 times the Sun’s cannot tell a neutron star from a heavy white dwarf, and there are no measurements of the star’s speed along the line of sight to confirm the orbit.

Star
Gaia DR3 1121443762310292096, a Sun-like star
Location
RA 129.77669°, Dec +70.16274° (J2000), in Ursa Major
Distance
about 1,500 parsecs (5,000 light-years)
Brightness
Gaia G = 15.5
Probability
This candidate is unconfirmed. The percentage under the title is an estimate of the chance that it is a real, previously unrecorded case of the kind described. The estimate has not been checked by outside experts. See the introduction to all fifty-eight candidates.
Caveat
The orbit does not pass Gaia’s quality cut on the parallax, the mass does not say what the companion is, and no measurements along the line of sight confirm the orbit.
A two-arcminute patch of sky in Ursa Major. Yellow ticks bracket a bright star whose centre is saturated, and a brighter star to the lower left has a long horizontal streak.
Legacy Surveys DR9 colour image, two arcminutes by two. The star is bright enough to saturate the camera at its centre. The brighter star 25 arcseconds to the south-west, with the long artefact, is unrelated. North is up, east is left, and the white bar is 30 arcseconds.

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